![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Maa-ja-Kunglarahvas-300x300.png\")
<\/p>\nPalju on mind m\u00f5tlema pannud Eesti tegelik kaitsev\u00f5ime ja siseriiklik julgeolek. Et s\u00fcndmusi reaalselt endale ette kujutada, pead eeldatavad tekkivad olukorrad v\u00f5imendama \u00e4\u00e4rmuseni, et saada tegelik s\u00fcndmuste kulg ja tekkiv olukord. Seda on toonitanud ja t\u00e4naseks v\u00f5ib \u00f6elda, et aastaid Elvis Brauer minu juhitud podcastis \u201cLihtsalt & Keerutamata\u201d.
\nS\u00fcndmused, mis Eestis aset leidnud on, t\u00f5estavad, et meil puudub tegelikult igasugune kaitsev\u00f5ime ning raha on tuulde loobitud relvat\u00f6\u00f6sturitele suurte loosungite saatel, vastu saamata midagi. Sellest tulenevalt annan ma oma n\u00e4gemuse, mis hakkab toimuma, kui meie elektritaristut r\u00fcnnatakse selliselt, et jaamadest j\u00e4\u00e4vad j\u00e4rgi vaid kraatrid ja neid pole v\u00f5imalik enam taastada, vaid tuleks uued nullist ehitada.<\/p>\n
\u00dcle-eestiline elektriv\u00f5rk on v\u00e4ga tundlik pingete k\u00f5ikumisele. Arutasime seda teemat ka elektriinsener Andres Saukasega \u201cTehnokraat\u201d saadetes korduvalt ja kui ohtlik oli see protsess tegelikult, kui meid \u00fchendati Venemaa v\u00f5rgust lahti. Pinge suurem k\u00f5ikumine oleks v\u00f5inud tuua esile \u201cblackout\u2019i\u201d, kus kogu Eestist kaob vool ja uuesti t\u00f6\u00f6le kogu v\u00f5rku saada on suur peavalu. Aga kui meil kaob n\u00e4iteks \u00fcks p\u00f5hijaam t\u00e4ielikult, tekitab see ahelreaktsiooni kogu Eesti elektriv\u00f5rgus ja ainus, mis meid hiljem p\u00e4\u00e4staks, oleks minna \u00fcle saartalitusele ja generaatorimajandusele.<\/p>\n
Generaatorimajandusele \u00fcleminek t\u00e4hendaks ka seda, et meil hakkab vaja minema massiliselt diiselk\u00fctust v\u00f5i bensiini. Kuid k\u00fctet on meil t\u00e4pselt nii palju, kui meil varudes ja jaamade mahutites on. Ilma elektrita on ka nende k\u00e4ttesaamine raskendatud. Teiseks, kui meie jaamu on juba massiivselt rakettidega r\u00fcnnatud, t\u00e4hendab see ka seda, et riigis kuulutatakse v\u00e4lja s\u00f5jaolukord. Samuti Venemaa sellist r\u00fcnnakut l\u00e4bi viies l\u00f5ikab v\u00e4ga suure t\u00f5en\u00e4osusega l\u00e4bi Suwalki koridori, et Baltikumil puuduks kauba\u00fchendus Euroopaga ja j\u00e4\u00e4daks blokaadi. Samuti s\u00f5jaolukorras sulgub meie \u00f5huruum ja laevaliiklus tsiviilotstarbel. L\u00e4\u00e4nemeri l\u00e4heb sisuliselt lukku.<\/p>\n
T\u00e4nases olukorras, kus suurem r\u00f5hk on kriisiolukordade lahendusel pandud vabatahtlikkusele ja Kaitseliidule, kukub s\u00fcsteem suure t\u00f5en\u00e4osusega kokku, sest paraku need vabatahtlikud on ju tegelikult samas paadis kannatanutega, kes peavad samuti oma pere ja kogukondi p\u00e4\u00e4stma. J\u00e4rele j\u00e4\u00e4vad siis palgalised politseinikud ja p\u00e4\u00e4steteenistus, kuid kuritegevuse ja marod\u00f6\u00f6rluse t\u00f5usu t\u00f5ttu on ka need institutsioonid \u00fclekoormatud. Juba t\u00e4na, kus pole kriisi, on nad alamehitatud ja riik k\u00e4rbib, kus saab \u2013 mida siis veel kriisist r\u00e4\u00e4kida! Jah, osa Kaitsev\u00e4est tuuakse t\u00e4navatele abiks turvalisust tagama, kuid see on vaid k\u00e4put\u00e4is, sest suurem r\u00f5hk on piirikaitsel Venemaaga.<\/p>\n
Meil riigis on tehtud palju vigu ettem\u00f5tlemata, mis saab kriisiolukorras. Tooksin kaks v\u00e4lja ja nendeks on v\u00e4ikep\u00f5llumajanduse \u00e4ratapmine ning sellega linnastumise soodustamine ja s\u00f5ltuvus toiduainet\u00f6\u00f6stustest, ning massiimmigratsioon, kus meil paigutatakse linnadesse \u00fcle saja tuhande v\u00f5\u00f5ra, kellel pole sidet ei selle maa ega rahvaga. Elektri kadumisel toidupoodidest s\u00f5ltuvuses olevad inimesed ei ole suutelised pikalt neist toitu ostma, sest sularaha on v\u00e4hestel k\u00e4es ja pangakaardiga ostmine kestab vaid seni, kuni suudetakse tagada makseterminalidele elekter ja internet \u2013 kui seda ei suudeta, on ainsaks maksevahendiks sularaha. Samuti poed ei suuda ennast varustada, kui kauba\u00fchendus on Euroopaga l\u00f5igatud ja s\u00f5ltutakse ainult riiklikest varudest.<\/p>\n
Minu hinnangul suudab riik 1\u20132 kuud blokaadi tingimustes toimida enam-v\u00e4hem normaalselt, aga kui l\u00f5ppeb k\u00fctus, toit ja vesi, l\u00e4heb lahti p\u00f5rgu \u2013 ja just linnades. Kortermajad upuvad reovette, vee ja toidu puudus ajab inimesi poode r\u00fc\u00fcstama. V\u00f5\u00f5ramaalastest tekivad getod, kes elluj\u00e4\u00e4mise nimel on valmis tapma ja neid \u00fcldse ei huvita, sest nad on l\u00f5ksus v\u00f5\u00f5ras riigis v\u00f5\u00f5raste inimeste keskel, kellega neil puudub kultuuriline ja keeleline side. R\u00fcnnatakse politseijaoskondi ja Kaitseliidu staape, et saada relvi. Poed r\u00fc\u00fcstatakse ning pered, kes ei suuda ennast kaitsta v\u00f5i ei ole suutelised linnast p\u00f5genema, tapetakse ressursi saamise eesm\u00e4rgil, milleks on toit ja vesi. Igasugune materiaalne v\u00e4\u00e4rtus kulla, h\u00f5beda v\u00f5i raha n\u00e4ol kaotab v\u00e4\u00e4rtuse. Hinda l\u00e4heb toit, vesi ja k\u00fctus generaatorite tarbeks.<\/p>\n
Talve saabudes hakkavad inimesed otsima elamuid, kus on ahjuk\u00fctte v\u00f5imalus \u2013 see t\u00e4hendab massilist v\u00e4ljar\u00e4nnet linnadest maapiirkondadesse ja see t\u00e4hendab ka seda, et tekkinud getodest saavad suure t\u00f5en\u00e4osusega r\u00f6\u00f6vj\u00f5ugud, kes r\u00fc\u00fcstavad k\u00fclasid.<\/p>\n
T\u00e4na, kus on rahuaeg ja k\u00f5ik toimib, kuid meil on teada eeldatav stsenaarium ning tegelik riigiv\u00f5imekus oma inimesi kaitsta \u2013 ehk see on minimaalne, kui mitte olematu. Linnades olevad inimesed peaksid otsima koost\u00f6\u00f6d k\u00fcladega, kes kriisiajal tagaksid neile toidu ja vee ning vajadusel annaksid talvel peavarju ja kaitset. K\u00fclad eesk\u00e4tt peaksid m\u00f5tlema l\u00e4bi oma kogukonna kriisiplaani ja organiseeruma. See t\u00e4hendab seda, et k\u00fclavanemast saab kriisiajal \u201ck\u00fclakindral\u201d, kes jagab \u00e4ra vastutusalad ning teostab relvastatud kontrollpunktid k\u00fcla sisse- ja v\u00e4ljap\u00e4\u00e4sule. K\u00f5ikides majapidamistes peaks olema generaator, toiduvaru keldrites (omakasvatatud k\u00f6\u00f6giviljad), k\u00fcttepuud jne.<\/p>\n
H\u00e4sti suurt r\u00f5hku panen ma t\u00e4na k\u00fclakogukondade vastastikusele koost\u00f6\u00f6le, kus kriisi ajal on v\u00f5imalus omavahel varusid vahetada. Samuti tuleks t\u00e4na luua k\u00fclade vahel alternatiivside v\u00f5imalus, sest kriisi ajal, kui puudub \u00fcleriigiline elekter, kaob ka tsiviilside (mobiilside ja internet). \u00dcleriigiliselt j\u00e4\u00e4b domineerima Kaitsev\u00e4e side, mis luuakse Kaitsev\u00e4e poolt ja tarbeks, kuid mis on k\u00e4ttesaamatu tavakodanikule.<\/p>\n
T\u00e4na \u00f5nneks on Eestis rahvaliikumisi, kes m\u00f5tlevad juba sellele stsenaariumile ning peavad plaani, kuidas edasi \u2013 nt Kunglarahvas ja ka P\u00f5lisrahva liikumine nendega koos, kuid me ei saa kellegi eest midagi \u00e4ra teha, vaid siin peab kogu Eestimaa rahvas jalad k\u00f5hu alt v\u00e4lja v\u00f5tma ja organiseeruma.<\/p>\n
Selline kirjeldatud olukord ja stsenaarium on k\u00f5ige reaalsem Venemaa-poolne k\u00e4ik, kus luuakse nn Stalingradi blokaadi taoline olukord, et survestada riike enda diktaadile kuuletuma. Samuti on see \u00fcsna m\u00f5jus ja ka turvaline samm Venemaa jaoks, kuna allutatav rahvas kriisis tapab ennast ise, ilma s\u00f5jaliselt sekkumata. Kuulasin Riigikogu istungil Mart Helme k\u00f5net, kus ta mainis, et ca 50% rahvast soovib lahkuda, kuna toimub Eesti venestamine ja massiimmigratsioon. M\u00f5nes m\u00f5ttes on tal \u00f5igus, kuid k\u00f5ige suurem p\u00f5hjus on selles, et inimesed tunnetavad, mis hakkab toimuma, kui eelkirjeldatud s\u00fcndmus peaks aset leidma. Eesti rahvas on kaitsetu ja lageda taeva all ning kollapsi oodata ja p\u00f6idlaid keerutada on iga\u00fche isiklik vastutus tuleviku ees.<\/p>\n
Hea Eesti rahvas, t\u00e4na on see ajaaken, kus on valikud \u2013 kas minna \u00e4ra Vahemere riikidesse v\u00f5i hakata tegutsema!<\/p>\n
Mario Maripuu
\nR\u00f5dali kihelkonna taasasutaja liige, l\u00e4\u00e4nlane<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
***<\/p>\n
The real defensive capability of Estonia and its internal security have given me much to think about. To truly imagine events as they might unfold, you have to amplify the potential scenarios to the extreme in order to understand the real course of events and the resulting situation. This has been emphasized for years by Elvis Brauer in my podcast \u201cSimply & Straightforward.\u201d<\/p>\n
Events that have taken place in Estonia prove that we effectively lack any real defensive capability, and money has been thrown to the wind at arms manufacturers with grand slogans, receiving nothing in return. Based on this, I present my view of what will begin to happen if our energy infrastructure is attacked in such a way that only craters remain of the plants and they cannot be restored, but would have to be rebuilt from scratch.<\/p>\n
The nationwide electricity grid is highly sensitive to voltage fluctuations. We have discussed this topic repeatedly with electrical engineer Andres Saukas in the \u201cTechnocrat\u201d programs, and how dangerous the process actually was when we were disconnected from the Russian grid. A larger fluctuation in voltage could have triggered a \u201cblackout,\u201d where electricity disappears across all of Estonia, and restarting the entire grid would be a major challenge. But if, for example, one major plant is completely lost, it would trigger a chain reaction across the entire Estonian grid, and the only thing that could later save us would be switching to island mode and generator-based systems.<\/p>\n
Switching to generator-based systems would also mean we would need massive amounts of diesel fuel or gasoline. But we only have as much fuel as exists in our reserves and storage tanks. Without electricity, even accessing that fuel becomes difficult. Secondly, if our plants have already been massively struck by missiles, it also means that a state of war would be declared. At the same time, in carrying out such an attack, Russia would very likely cut off the Suwa\u0142ki Corridor, leaving the Baltic states without trade connections to Europe and under blockade. In wartime conditions, our airspace and civilian maritime traffic would also be closed. The Baltic Sea would effectively be locked down.<\/p>\n
In today\u2019s situation, where the primary emphasis for handling crises has been placed on voluntarism and the Defence League, the system would most likely collapse, because those volunteers are in the same position as the victims\u2014they must also save their own families and communities. What remains are professional police and rescue services, but due to the rise in crime and looting, these institutions would also be overwhelmed. Already today, without any crisis, they are understaffed and the state is cutting wherever it can\u2014so what can we expect in a crisis? Yes, part of the Defence Forces would be brought onto the streets to help maintain security, but that would only be a handful, as the primary focus would be on border defense against Russia.<\/p>\n
Many mistakes have been made in this country without thinking about what would happen in a crisis. I would highlight two: the destruction of small-scale agriculture, which has promoted urbanization and dependence on the food industry, and mass immigration, where over a hundred thousand foreigners have been placed in cities without any connection to this land or its people. When electricity disappears, people dependent on grocery stores will not be able to buy food for long, because few have cash on hand, and card payments will only work as long as electricity and internet can be maintained for payment terminals\u2014if not, cash becomes the only means of payment. Stores will also be unable to restock if trade connections with Europe are cut and the country relies solely on state reserves.<\/p>\n
In my estimation, the state could function relatively normally under blockade conditions for 1\u20132 months, but once fuel, food, and water run out, all hell will break loose\u2014especially in cities. Apartment buildings will be flooded with sewage, and the lack of water and food will drive people to loot stores. Ghettos will form among foreigners, who, for survival, will be ready to kill, as they are trapped in a foreign country among strangers with whom they have no cultural or linguistic connection. Police stations and Defence League facilities will be attacked to obtain weapons. Stores will be looted, and families who cannot defend themselves or are unable to flee cities will be killed for resources such as food and water. All material value\u2014gold, silver, or money\u2014will lose its meaning. What will matter is food, water, and fuel for generators.<\/p>\n
As winter arrives, people will begin searching for homes with wood heating, leading to mass migration from cities to rural areas, and this will also mean that the ghettos that have formed will likely turn into raiding gangs that plunder villages.<\/p>\n
Today, in peacetime, everything functions, but we already know the likely scenario and the real capacity of the state to protect its people\u2014which is minimal, if not nonexistent. People in cities should seek cooperation with villages that could provide food and water in times of crisis, and offer shelter and protection in winter. Villages, above all, should develop their own community crisis plans and organize themselves. This means that the village head becomes a kind of \u201cvillage general\u201d in times of crisis, assigning responsibilities and establishing armed checkpoints at entry and exit points. Every household should have a generator, food reserves in cellars (home-grown vegetables), firewood, and so on.<\/p>\n
I place strong emphasis today on cooperation between village communities, where resources can be exchanged during a crisis. It is also essential to create alternative communication systems between villages, because in a nationwide power outage, civilian communication (mobile networks and internet) will disappear. Nationwide, military communication will dominate, created by and for the Defence Forces, but inaccessible to ordinary citizens.<\/p>\n
Fortunately, today there are grassroots movements in Estonia already thinking about this scenario and making plans for the future\u2014for example, Kunglarahvas and the Indigenous movement working together\u2014but we cannot do everything for others. The entire Estonian people must get up and organize themselves.<\/p>\n
This described situation and scenario is the most realistic move from Russia\u2014to create a situation similar to the Siege of Stalingrad, to pressure countries into submission. It is also quite effective and relatively safe for Russia, as the subjugated population in crisis will destroy itself without military intervention. I listened to a speech in the Estonian Parliament by Mart Helme, where he stated that around 50% of the population wants to leave due to the \u201cRussification\u201d of Estonia and mass immigration. In some sense, he is right, but the biggest reason is that people sense what will happen if the described scenario unfolds. The Estonian people are defenseless and exposed, and waiting for collapse while doing nothing is each individual\u2019s personal responsibility toward the future.<\/p>\n
Dear Estonian people, today is the window of time when choices exist\u2014either leave for Mediterranean countries or start taking action!<\/p>\n
Mario Maripuu
Member of the re-establishment of R\u00f5dali parish, a Westerner<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Palju on mind m\u00f5tlema pannud Eesti tegelik kaitsev\u00f5ime ja siseriiklik julgeolek. Et s\u00fcndmusi reaalselt endale ette kujutada, pead eeldatavad tekkivad olukorrad v\u00f5imendama \u00e4\u00e4rmuseni, et saada tegelik s\u00fcndmuste kulg ja tekkiv…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":3779,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"image","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-image","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arvamus","post_format-post-format-image"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3776"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3776\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3778,"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3776\/revisions\/3778"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3779"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uudistekeskus.ee\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}